Hedge Fund Risks

Hedge Fund Risks and Issues for Investors

The main reasons of investing in hedge funds is to diversify the funds and maximize the returns of the investors, but high returns comes with a cost of higher risk since hedge funds are invested in risky portfolios as well as derivatives which has inherent risk and market risk in it, which may either give huge returns to the investors or turn them into losses and investor may incur negative returns.

Explanation

Hedge funds appear to be a very lucrative proposition for investors with High Risk and High Return appetite. However, it does pose some challenges, especially for the investors investing Millions and Billions of Dollars. There are some inherent issues of hedge fundsHedge FundsA hedge fund is an aggressively invested portfolio made through pooling of various investors and institutional investor’s fund. It supports various assets providing high returns in exchange for higher risk through multiple risk management and hedging techniques.read more that have also increased significantly post the 2008 Financial crisis.

Hedge Fund Investors from most countries are required to be qualified investors who are assumed to be aware of the investment risks and accept these risks due to the potentially large returns available. Hedge Fund managers also employ comprehensive strategies of risk management for protecting the hedge fund investors, which is expected to be diligent since the hedge fund manager is also a significant stakeholder in the particular hedge fund. Funds may also appoint a “risk officer” who will assess and manage the risks but will not be involved in the Trading activities of the Fund or employing strategies such as formal portfolio risk models.

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#1 – Regulatory and Transparency

Hedge funds are private entities with relatively less public disclosure requirements. This, in turn, is perceived as a ‘lack of transparency’ in the immense interest of the community.

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#2 – Investment Risks

Hedge funds share several risks as other investment classes are broadly classified as Liquidity Risk and Manager Risk. Liquidity refers to how quickly security can be converted into cash. Funds generally employ a lock-up period during which an investor cannot withdraw money or exit the Fund.

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hedge-fund-issues-loss-of-capital

source: rbh.com

Also, have a look at How Hedge funds work?How Hedge Funds Work?A Hedge Fund is an investment vehicle that pools money from investors & uses a fund manager to operate it and gain maximum returns for them. It utilizes different trading techniques & might specialize in real estate, trade junk bonds, & “long-only” equities etc. read more

#3 – Concentration Risk

  • This type of risk involves an excessive focus on a particular kind of strategy or investing in a restricted sector to enhance returns.
  • Such risks can be conflicting for particular investors who expect vast diversification of funds to enhance returns in various sectors.
  • E.g., the hedge fund investors may be having a defensive technique of investing the funds in the FMCG sector since this is an industry that will be operating continuously with a broad scope of expansion as per the changing customer requirements.
  • However, if the macroeconomicMacroeconomicMacroeconomics aims at studying aspects and phenomena important to the national economy and world economy at large like GDP, inflation, fiscal policies, monetary policies, unemployment rates.read more conditions are dynamic like inflation challenges, high input costs, less consumer spending, in turn, will spur a downward spiral for the entire FMCG sector and hamper overall growth.
  • If the hedge fund manager has put all the eggs in one basket, then the performance of the FMCG sector will be directly proportional to the performance of the Fund.
  • On the contrary, if the funds have been diversified in multiple sectors like FMCG, Steel, Pharmaceuticals, Banking, etc., then a dip in the performance of one sector can be neutralized by the understanding of another industry.
  • This will largely depend on the macroeconomic conditions of the region where the investments are being made and its future potential.

Useful Links on Hedge Fund

#4 – Performance Issues

Since the 2008 Financial crisis, the charm of the hedge fund industry is said to have waned out a bit. This is due to various factors related to interest rate formation, credit spreadsCredit SpreadsCredit Spread is the yield gap between similar bonds but with different credit quality. If a 5-year Treasury bond yields 5% and a 5-year Corporate Bond yields 6.5 percent, the gap over Treasury is 150 basis points (1.5 percent ).read more, stock market volatility, leverage, and government intervention creating various hurdles that reduce opportunities for even the most skillful fund managers.

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One area from where the hedge funds earn is by taking advantage of volatility and selling them. As per the below chart, the volatility index has been steadily declining downward since 2009, and it is hard to sell volatility since there is none to take advantage of.hedge fund investors

  • This deterioration in performance can be pinned to the overabundance of investors. The hedge fund investors have now become very cautious in their approach and opt to preserve their capital even in the worse of conditions.
  • As the number of hedge funds has swelled, making it a $3 trillion industry, more investors are participating. Still, the overall performance has shrunk since more hedge fund managers have entered the market, reducing the effect of multiple strategies that were traditionally considered speculative.
  • In such cases, the skills of a fund manager can carve a niche for themselves by beating various estimates and exceeding expectations of general market sentiment.

#5 – Rising Fees & Prime Broker Dynamism

Fund managers are now beginning to feel the effects of bank regulations, which have been strengthened post the 2008 financial crisis, especially the Basel III regulations.

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  • These updated rules require banks to hold more capital through a capitalization rateCapitalization RateCapitalization Rate is the rate that helps determining value of a real estate investment. It projects the expected rate of return on the investment made. read more, which blocks money towards regulatory requirements, leverage constraints, and increasing focus on liquidity, impacting the capacity and economics of banks.
  • It has also resulted in an evolving shift in how the Prime broker’s view hedge fund relationships.
  • Prime brokers have started demanding higher fees from the hedge fund managers for providing their services, which in turn has an impact on the performance of the hedge fund and, in turn making them less lucrative in an already squeezing margin business.
  • This has caused fund managers to evaluate how they obtain their financing or, if required, to make radical changes to their strategies.
  • This has made the investors jittery, especially for those whose investments are in the “lock-up” period.

#6 – Mismatch or Incomplete Information

  • The fund managers must reveal the performance of the Fund regularly. However, the results can be fabricated to match the directions of the fund manager since the offering documents are not reviewed or approved by the state or federal authorities.
  • A hedge fund may have little or no operating history or performance and hence may use hypothetical measures of execution, which may not necessarily reflect the actual trading done by the manager or advisor.
  • Hedge fund investors should do a careful vetting of the same and question possible discrepancies.
  • E.g., a hedge fund could have a very complicated tax structure that may expose possible loopholes but not understood by the typical investor.
  • A fund manager may invest in P-Notes of the Indian stock market but routed through a tax havenA Tax HavenA tax haven is a place or a country with very low or nil rate of income tax. It provides a business-friendly macroeconomic environment, such as financial and economic stability, as well as financial secrecy from tax authorities.read more. However, the manager may make such an investment by making all tax payments misleading the investors.
  • A hedge fund may not provide any transparency regarding its underlying investments (including sub-funds in a Fund of Funds structure) to the investors, which in turn will be difficult for the investors to monitor.
  • Within this, there exists a possibility of getting the trades done through trading expertise and experience of third-party managers/advisors, the identity of which may not be disclosed to the investors.

#7 – Taxation

#8 – Problem of Plenty

Presently, the biggest problem faced by the hedge fund industry is the existence of far too many hedge funds.

Below is a sample table explaining the same for ABC Fund Ltd:

YearAssets Under Mgmt ($MM)PerformanceGross Income – Mgmt Fees($MM)(Assumed @ 1.75%)Gross Income – Performance ($MM)(Assumed)Expense ($MM)(Assumed)Profitability ($MM)(Performance Income minus Expense)
15012%0.8751.052.625-1.575
210012%1.7502.102.625-0.525
320012%3.504.203.500.70
450012%8.7510.505.05.50

From the above example, we can ascertain that as the Assets for the fund increases, so does the expenses. In this case, we are assuming the income to double every year, and only then can it break-even once it enters the third year with assets of $200MM. It is from here that the skills of the fund manager come into play and need to ensure that the returns are regularly increasing to attract the cream of the investors in an ever-increasing and a competitive hedge fund industry.

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